NEAL'S PICKS PALATIAL HEADQUARTERS -- It's bowl season.
So many bowls, so many opportunities to gain ground or be buried in the standings.
We're picking all of the games starting with Saturday, Dec. 17. Some of us will add picks as we go. Some will amend/change picks in an attempt to catch up. When you're talking about New Mexico State, Rice, Fresno State and the like, those of us who don't watch as much college football as others get exposed.
Regardless, Merry Christmas and Happy New Year from all of us at Neal's Picks. Thanks for playing along season after season.
On to the picks...
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Standings
Championship Week:
Neal McCready: 8-2 overall, 7-3 ATS
Chase Parham: 8-2 overall, 6-4 ATS
Jeffrey Wright: 8-2 overall, 4-6 ATS
Brian Rippee: 8-2 overall, 6-4 ATS
For The Season:
Neal McCready: 110-44 overall, 69-70 ATS
Chase Parham: 112-42 overall, 72-67 ATS
Jeffrey Wright: 111-43 overall, 69-70 ATS
Brian Rippee: 115-39 overall, 59-80 ATS
All times listed Central Standard Time
All betting lines via DraftKings (as of Dec. 12)
December 17
Cincinnati (pick) vs. Louisville, Wasabi Fenway Bowl, Fenway Park, Boston, 10 a.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: One has to think Scott Satterfield's former team is more motivated to win this one than his new one is. Neal's Pick: Louisville 27, Cincinnati 24
Chase Parham: This is all about motivation and opt-outs in the bowl season. The new team doesn't feel the sting like the old team in the Satterfield Bowl. Parham's Pick: Louisville 31, Cincinnati 28
Jeffrey Wright: I mean how on earth can you have an opinion on this game? Neither team is playing with anyone that matters. However, this line has moved in Louisville’s favor, and Cincinnati was one of the worst teams in the country against the number this year. WRIGHT’S PICK: LOUISVILLE 21, CINCINNATI 17
Brian Rippee: Gauging is important in these bowl games. I imagine Louisville feels a little slighted facing the team that plucked its head coach, even if Cardinals fans aren't exactly torn up about him leaving. Rippee's Pick: Louisville 30, Cincinnati 27
SMU -3.5 vs. BYU, New Mexico Bowl, University Stadium, Albuquerque, N.M., 6:30 p.m., ABC
Neal McCready: I think SMU can out-athlete the Cougars. That's all I've got. Neal's Pick: SMU 27, BYU 23
Chase Parham: I kind of like SMU. The Mustangs are fun. My second favorite American team. Parham's Pick: SMU 41, BYU 34
Jeffrey Wright: Whoo Boy! We’ve got an unstoppable force vs. an immovable object game. SMU is 1-6 ATS after failing to cover the previous game while BYU has failed to cover five of its last six as a favorite and is 1-5 against teams with a winning record. SMU just doesn’t feel like a school that cares about bowl games while BYU feels like they do. WRIGHT’S PICK: BYU 38 SMU 31
Brian Rippee: I don't have much of a clue about how good or bad either of these teams are. Rippee's Pick: BYU 20, SMU 17
Washington State +3 vs. Fresno State, Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl, presented by Stoffel, SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, Calif., 2:30 p.m., ABC
Neal McCready: Washington State is accusing everyone of tampering. OF COURSE EVERYONE IS TAMPERING. GET OVER IT. Fresno looked good in Boise. Neal's Pick: Fresno State 30, Washington State 24
Chase Parham: Hell, I don't know. Parham's Pick: Washington State 30, Fresno 24
Jeffrey Wright: Fresno State has the better quarterback and definitely feels like a team that would care about this game a lot more. Washington State is 0-5 ATS in its last five bowl games while Fresno State is 16-6 ATS as an underdog since 2017. WRIGHT’S PICK: FRESNO STATE 24, WASHINGTON STATE 21
Brian Rippee: Sponsoring a bowl game and naming it after yourself is a pretty nifty flex. As far as the game, I think Fresno State is better. Rippee's Pick: Fresno State 34, Washington State 28
Rice +7 vs. Southern Miss, LendingTree Bowl, Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, Ala., 4:45 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: Will Hall's done a great job in Hattiesburg. Neal's Pick: USM 27, Rice 17
Chase Parham: Monroe County natives unite. Parham's Pick: USM 30, Rice 14
Jeffrey Wright: I’m a little concerned that everyone alive is on Southern Miss during this game. In the last four meetings between these former conference foes, the favorite is 4-0 ATS. However, the Eagles have failed to cover the number during six-of-their-last-seven bowl games. According to The Bear, “Single-digit dogs have covered less than half the time (49.1%), but 38% (166 of 440) of them have won outright and 76.9% (166 of 216) of them that have covered have also won the game outright,”. So let’s have some fun. WRIGHT’S PICK: RICE 20, SOUTHERN MISS 17
Brian Rippee: I like Will Hall a lot. So did Matt Luke, but.. oh, nevermind. Rippee's Pick: USM 31, Rice 20
Florida +10 vs. Oregon State, SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl, Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, 1:30 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: I love this line. Famous last words, I know, but I adore it. Neal's Pick: Oregon State 34, Florida 17
Chase Parham: Florida beat Utah and lost to Vandy. Put actual money on the Gators at your own risk. Parham's Pick: Oregon State 24, Florida 13
Jeffrey Wright: Reminder that Jonathon Smith and his band of good kids were 10-2 ATS this year. Also, there’s a zero percent chance that Florida cares about this game. WRIGHT’S PICK: OREGON STATE 34, FLORIDA 17
Brian Rippee: Oregon State is better but I think this is too many points. Rippee's Pick: Oregon State 27, Florida 24
North Texas +10 vs. Boise State. Frisco Bowl, Toyota Stadium, Frisco, Texas, 8:15 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: It's a lot of points, but the Mean Green fired their coach and can't care very much. Of course, neither does Boise, I suspect. Neal's Pick: Boise State 30, North Texas 17
Chase Parham: The Green isn't mean, but we'll see if they are slightly cantankerous. Parham's Pick: Boise 34, North Texas 31
Jeffrey Wright: Boise State is definitely a school that cares about bowl games. The Broncos are also 7-0-1 ATS following a loss since 2020. Also, North Texas has failed to cover the last four bowl games and the last eight games in December. WRIGHT’S PICK: BOISE STATE 34, NORTH TEXAS 17
Brian Rippee: This is essentially a home game for North Texas who.. fired its coach after losing the conference championship game? I suppose I will take the points here. Rippee's Pick: Boise State 28, North Texas 21
December 19
Marshall -10 vs. Connecticut, Myrtle Beach Bowl, Brooks Stadium, Conway, S.C., 1:30 p.m., Conway, S.C.
Neal McCready: Marshall is pretty solid. Jim Mora Jr., meanwhile, did a great job in Storrs. I'll just take the points. Neal's Pick: Marshall 27, Connecticut 23
Chase Parham: Marshall is the better team, but I've been impressed with Jim Mora's season since the the game against Utah State early in the year. I'm pulling for them. Parham's Pick: Marshall 24, UCONN 20
Jeffrey Wright: WRIGHT: If you don’t stand for something, you’ll fall for anything. In this space, we fade the MAC, even after they covered their first bowl game. WRIGHT’S PICK: MARSHALL 24, UCONN 17
Brian Rippee: How Jim Mora Jr. won six games with what he inherited at UCONN is pretty wild. I think they get to seven wins. Rippee's Pick:Connecticut 35, Marshall 31
December 20
Eastern Michigan +3.5 vs. San Jose State, Famous Idaho Potato Bowl, Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho, 2:30 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: Lock of the millennium. Neal's Pick: Eastern Michigan 707, San Jose State 0
Chase Parham: May Neal stay warm and get a victory. Parham's Pick: Eagles 98, San Jose State 96 (28 OT)
Jeffrey Wright: We especially fade teams that are still in the MAC. WRIGHT’S PICK: SAN JOSE STATE 31, EASTERN MICHIGAN 24
Brian Rippee: Isn't this game Neal will be influencing at? I believe he took the side of Eastern Michigan, so I cannot go against that. I will take the fighting McCreadys. Rippee's Pick: Eastern Michigan 30, San Jose State 27
Liberty +5 vs. Toledo, RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl, FAU Stadium, Boca Raton, Fla., 6:30 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: I want Liberty to win now, but my money is on the Rockets. Neal's Pick: Toledo 31, Liberty 23
Chase Parham: Jason Candle has done a really good job but hasn't gotten the good offer. Parham's Pick: Toledo 28, Liberty 20
Jeffrey Wright: #FadeTheMAC/It’s nice to be able to bet Liberty now and not feel like you ordered hookers from your work phone. WRIGHT: LIBERTY 28, TOLEDO 24
Brian Rippee: How does Liberty corral Rockets without Hugh Freeze's expertise? Staying relaxed and not getting too excited is key. I am just not sure they can control the situation. Rippee's Pick: Toledo 34, Liberty 27
December 21
Western Kentucky +8 vs. South Alabama, R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl, Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, 8 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: Kane Wommack is going to get his 11th win. He's got 21 starters coming back. Next year could be huge in Mobile. Neal's Pick: South Alabama 27, Western Kentucky 17
Chase Parham: I hope Kane wins the game, so let's go with that. Parham's Pick: South Alabama 31, Western Kentucky 20
Jeffrey Wright: I don’t really trust either team to cover, so give me the points. WRIGHT’S PICK: SOUTH ALABAMA 38, WESTERN KENTUCKY 31
Brian Rippee: One of the coolest storylines of the college football season was the job that both Kane Wommack and Jon Sumrall did at their respective programs in the state of Alabama. Both seem like stars in the making. I am on team Wommack here. Rippee's Pick: South Alabama 30, Western Kentucky 14
December 22
Baylor -6.5 vs. Air Force, Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl, Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Texas, 6:30 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: Give me the service academy versus the disappointed Big 12 program that upended the staff. Neal's Pick: Air Force 21, Baylor 20
Chase Parham: I am pulling for our county instead of Baylor. Parham's Pick: Air Force 30, Baylor 28
Jeffrey Wright: In the past 10 years, service academies are 13-3 ATS (5-1 as an underdog with three outright wins). The Falcons have covered three-consecutive bowl lines, and they are 20-10-1 ATS as an underdog since the start of the 2014 season. WRIGHT’S PICK: AIR FORCE 21, BAYLOR 17
Brian Rippee: Baylor was super underwhelming this year and I think it is bad karma to pick against the troops. Rippee's Pick: Air Force 20, Baylor 17
December 23
Louisiana-Lafayette +6.5 vs. Houston, Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl, Independence Stadium, Shreveport, La., 2 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: It was a disappointing season for the Cougars, but they'll handle the Cajuns, who aren't the same after Billy Napier's exit. Neal's Pick: Houston 34, ULL 24
Chase Parham: I'm mildly interested in Houston's program the next few years in all this transition -- if it can elevate to the next level. Not elite or anything but just t the next level. Parham's Pick: Houston 40, ULL 31
Jeffrey Wright: Per the Bear again, “Dana Holgorsen teams are 2-7 ATS and 3-6 SU in bowl games. Holgorsen's teams have lost by at least 14 points in four of their past five bowl games. The five bowl games in which Holgorsen's team was favored resulted in three losses -- two by double digits -- and wins by one and four points.” Also, note that this game is in EXTREMELY CLOSE proximity to casino gaming. WRIGHT’S PICK: LOUISIANA LAFAYETTE 31, HOUSTON 24
Brian Rippee: Cajuns and Cougars. What a spicy combo. Rippee's Pick: Houston 38, ULL 30
Wake Forest -1 vs. Missouri, Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl, Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Fla., 5:30 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: Missouri doesn't want to be there. Wake Forest has quarterback play. I'll take the Deacons in a game I refuse to watch. Neal's Pick: Wake Forest 27, Missouri 20
Chase Parham: I know he's the punching bag, but Eliah Drinkwitz did a nice job with his program this year. He lost a game or two he shouldn't have and isn 't the best decision maker, but he's been all right. Parham's Pick: Missouri 27, Wake 24
Jeffrey Wright: Since 2017, favorites of three points or fewer are 32-19-1 ATS in bowl games. Sounds good enough to me. WRIGHT’S PICK: WAKE FOREST 31, MISSOURI 27
Brian Rippee: Mizzou toppled Arkansas to get to six wins and become bowl eligible. The Tigers were a better team than their record in 2022. Rippee's Pick: Mizzou 28, Wake 27
Christmas Eve
Middle Tennessee State +7 vs. San Diego State, Easy Post Hawai'i Bowl, Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, 7 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: I'd like to see MTSU get this one, but I suspect the Aztecs will be too much. Neal's Pick: San Diego State 31, MTSU 23
Chase Parham: Eric Winter is a nice guy and was the head of Rivals at one point. He went to San Diego State. Reason enough. Parham’s Pick: SDSU 34, MTSU 20
Jeffrey Wright:
Brian Rippee: I have no evidence to support this, but I feel like MTSU never wins bowl games. Maybe it's just when I pick them, or maybe it is just me. Rippee's Pick: San Diego State 24, Middle Tennessee State 13
December 26
New Mexico State +13 vs. Bowling Green, Quick Lane Bowl, Ford Field, Detroit, 1:30 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: New Mexico State made a bowl game? How? I'll just take the points out of pure ignorance. Neal's Pick: Bowling Green 31, New Mexico State 21
Chase Parham: I'm sure Bowling Green is a better team, but that's a lot of points against a New Mexico State team that has to be somewhat motivated. Parham's Pick: Bowling Green 34, New Mexico State 23
Jeffrey Wright: Fade the MAC. WRIGHT’S PICK: NEW MEXICO STATE 28, BOWLING GREEN 24
Brian Rippee: A round of applause for Jerry Kill getting the Aggies to a bowl game. That is a really tough gig without many resources. I guess I will follow my rooting interest here. Rippee' Pick: New Mexico State 30, Bowling Green 27
December 27
Georgia Southern -3.5 vs. Buffalo, Camellia Bowl, Cramton Bowl, Montgomery, Ala., 11 a.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: I've bet and lost on Buffalo a couple times this year. No mas. Neal's Pick: Georgia Southern 24, Buffalo 20
Chase Parham: Georgia Southern hosted a baseball regional this past season but was the victim of Notre Dame getting snubbed. That's all I got. Parham's Pick: Georgia Southern 24, Buffalo 16
Jeffrey Wright: #FadeTheMAC WRIGHT'S PICK: GEORGIA SOUTHERN 38, BUFFALO 31
Brian Rippee: I have heard Statesboro is a wild time. Rippee's Pick: Georgia Southern 21, Buffalo 17
Memphis -7 vs. Utah State, SERVPRO First Responder Bowl, Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, 2:15 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: Again, I know Utah State underachieved and Memphis was less than inspiring this season. I'll just take points by default. Neal's Pick: Memphis 24, Utah State 19
Chase Parham: I know Memphis wasn't very good this year, but Utah State looked really bad at times. I oddly watched a good bit of the Aggies. Parham's Pick: Memphis 41, Utah State 31
Jeffrey Wright: Memphis is just 4-8 ATS as a favorite against FBS teams the past two seasons (AKA Silverfield without Brady White). I think it will be much easier for Blake Anderson to get his team up to play Memphis than it will be for Memphis to get up to play Utah State at SMU’s stadium. WRIGHT'S PICK: UTAH STATE 31, MEMPHIS 24
Brian Rippee: Both of these teams felt like they had underwhelming years. I guess I will take the one with more talent. Rippee's Pick: Memphis 27, Utah State 17
Coastal Carolina +10.5 vs. East Carolina, TicketSmarter Birmingham Bowl, Protective Life Stadium, Birmingham, Ala., 5:45 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: Coastal can't care enough to even show up. Neal's Pick: East Carolina 31, Coastal Carolina 17
Chase Parham: East Carolina may be one of the few teams nationally to be excited about Birmingham. I will say, relatively, we give it a bad time, especially in this new stadium. It's ok. Parham's Pick: East Carolina 38, Coastal 20
Jeffrey Wright: I’m also going to test a theory about fading The American. It was not good this year, and it’s not getting better. WRIGHT’S PICK: EAST CAROLINA 34, COASTAL CAROLINA 28
Brian Rippee: Coastal lost its coach and its star QB entered the portal. That seems like a suboptimal combination heading into a bowl game. Rippee's Pick: East Carolina 40, Coastal Carolina 20
Wisconsin -3 vs. Oklahoma State, Guaranteed Rate Bowl, Chase Field, Phoenix, 9:15 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: It was a struggle at the end for the Pokes. I can't imagine anything has happened to change that. Neal's Pick: Wisconsin 26, Oklahoma State 20
Chase Parham: I'll ride with my Big Ten favorite team. Parham's Pick: Wisconsin 30, Oklahoma State 24
Jeffrey Wright: Mike Gundy cares about bowl games. Per the Bear, “The Cowboys covered six straight bowls, winning five outright. The Cowboys' past five bowls have all been decided by single digits and the past four have been decided by a combined 13 points,”. Ride or Die. WRIGHT’S PICK: OKLAHOMA STATE 24, WISCONSIN 20
Brian Rippee: Oklahoma State was a perplexing team this year. Wisconsin lost two of three to end the year, including a defeat to Iowa. I must roll with the mullet here. Rippee' Pick: Oklahoma State 21, Wisconsin 17
December 28
UCF +1 vs. Duke, Military Bowl presented by Peraton, Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, Md., 1 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: UCF looked really tired at the end. I'll just gamble on Duke. Why not? Neal's Pick: Duke 30, UCF 24
Chase Parham: UCF won't be up 21-0 like its basketball team recently pulled off. Parham's Pick: Duke 20, UCF 17
Jeffrey Wright: Gus is quietly becoming the new Pat Narduzzi. He’s 5-0 ATS when the spread is within 3 points either way since arriving at UCF. WRIGHT’S PICK UCF 31, DUKE 28
Brian Rippee: Duke finished the year strong for a quietly impressive 8-4 mark in year one for Mike Elko. Give me the Blue Devils here. Rippee's Pick: Duke 34, UCF 24
Kansas +3 vs. Arkansas, AutoZone Liberty Bowl, Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis, Tenn., 4:30 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: Kansas will care more. A lot more. I'm just not sure the Jayhawks can stop Arkansas' running game. Neal's Pick: Arkansas 34, Kansas 27
Chase Parham: Kansas has been such a cool story this year and Lance Leipold is a heck of a coach. Parham's Pick: Kansas 40, Arkansas 38
Jeffrey Wright: I think Arkansas will care, maybe not as much as Kansas, but I think they’ll care. That’s all I ask. WRIGHT’S PICK: ARKANSAS 35, KANSAS 27
Brian Rippee: Kansas will be more motivated. I struggle to see how the Jayhawks stop K.J. Jefferson, but I will side with motivation above all else during bowl season. Rippee's Pick: Kansas 31, Arkansas 24
Oregon -13.5 vs. North Carolina, San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl, Petco Park, San Diego, 7 p.m., FOX
Neal McCready: Could be a lot of points in this one. I'll just take the points and hope for a shootout. Neal's Pick: Oregon 42, North Carolina 31
Chase Parham: It's a huge line, and there's no obvious motivation factor for either team. I can't, in good faith, lay two scores here. Parham's Pick: Oregon 38, North Carolina 27
Jeffrey Wright: Oh boy. Double-digit underdogs are 27-19 ATS since 2013. However, this line screams that they’re begging you to take the points, so I’ll do something that no one should ever do; trust Oregon. WRIGHT’S PICK: OREGON 38, NORTH CAROLINA 24
Brian Rippee: Oregon choked away a shot at the PAC 12 title game in epic fashion against Oregon State. Now that Phil Longo is gone, UNC might actually score touchdowns in the red zone against competent defenses. Rippee's Pick: Oregon 38, North Carolina 35
Texas Tech +3 vs. Ole Miss, TaxAct Texas Bowl, NRG Stadium, Houston, 8 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: It'll be a road game for the Rebels, I suspect, but I just think Ole Miss is a better team. Simple as that. Neal's Pick: Ole Miss 34, Texas Tech 24
Chase Parham: Texas Tech's fan base is more motivated, but Ole Miss seems fairly locked in, and I think -- as much as any non-playoff bowl game can be -- this game is important. Ole Miss will be able to run early and often. Parham's Pick: Ole Miss 31, Tech 27
Jeffrey Wright: Ole Miss is 12-3 ATS in bowl games since 1992. That’s a lot of different coaches, and no coach lost more than one bowl game. Is Kiffin the outlier? Perhaps, if anyone is going to be an outlier, it will be him. However, I’m not betting against it. WRIGHT’S PICK OLE MISS 34, TEXAS TECH 27
Brian Rippee: Ole Miss is the better team and Lane Kiffin is not currently a candidate for any jobs that I know of, so I think the Rebels will be focused. Rippee's Pick: Ole Miss 28, Texas Tech 20
December 29
Syracuse +7 vs. Minnesota, Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl, Yankee Stadium, New York, 1 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: Syracuse faded. Minnesota is a veteran-laden team. Give me the Gophers. Neal's Pick: Minnesota 28, Syracuse 17
Chase Parham: Row the boat or something like that. Parham's Pick: Minnesota 40, Syracuse 24
Jeffrey Wright: According to Terrance Maryrose, whom many know as Rico Bosco, who is also someone that my employer’s parent company believed was worth six figures while they pinch pennies at every other turn, the play is Syracuse because his uncle is working security for Minnesota, and his uncle has never been on the winning side of the game. WRIGHT’S PICK: MINNESOTA 24, SYRACUSE 17
Brian Rippee: I don't think Syracuse is very good. As much as P.J. Fleck annoys me, I think the Gophers win this one handily. Rippee's Pick: Minnesota 31, Syracuse 14
Oklahoma +7.5 vs. Florida State, Cheez-It Bowl, Camping World Stadium, Orlando, Fla., 4:30 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: I actually love the 'Noles here. Mike Norvell has FSU rolling. Oklahoma looks like a bit of a train wreck a year away from joining the SEC. Neal's Pick: Florida State 31, Oklahoma 21
Chase Parham: Florida State feels oddly motivated for this thing. Mike Norvell has done a nice job. I was wrong about him. Parham's Pick: Florida State 34, Oklahoma 24
Jeffrey Wright: I want Oklahoma here because there is no reason at all to want Oklahoma here. Also, Norvell is a low-key, bad bowl game coach. WRIGHT’S PICK: FLORIDA STATE 34, OKLAHOMA 31
Brian Rippee: Florida State is a good team. I don't really know what Oklahoma is. I like the Seminoles a lot here. Rippee's Pick: Florida State 35, Oklahoma 17
Texas -5.5 vs. Washington, Valero Alamo Bowl, Alamodome, San Antonio, Texas, 8 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: The'Horns, on the other hand, look much more SEC-ready than OU. Steve Sarkisian's program has some momentum. Not a ton, mind you, but Texas has some juice. Neal's Pick: Texas 30, Washington 23
Chase Parham: Washington is going to be a good program with Kalen DeBoer in charge. Parham's Pick: Washington 20, Texas 17
Jeffrey Wright: The theme for today is play the side that you don’t want to play. This line feels as if it’s begging you to play Washington. Therefore, we will play Texas. Texas has been pretty good as a favorite under Sark, 12-7 ATS. This game will also function as a semi-home game. WRIGHT’S PICK: TEXAS 35, WASHINGTON 28
Brian Rippee: Texas played well down the stretch and Kalen DeBoer did one hell of a job at Washington in year one. It's worth pointing out that DeBoer's career record as a head coach is 90-11. That is an absurd mark, regardless of what level of football he accrued the majority of those wins. Rippee's Pick: Washington 24, Texas 20
December 30
Maryland -1 vs. North Carolina State, Duke's Mayo Bowl, Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, N.C., 11 a.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: I kind of liked what I saw from Maryland at the end. N.C. State is solid as well. This could be a good game. Neal's Pick: North Carolina State 27, Maryland 24
Chase Parham: Go Terps, I guess. Scott Van Pelt seems like a good dude. Parham's Pick: Maryland 31, NC State 28
Jeffrey Wright: I don’t think Taulia is very good against good defenses, and NC State has a good defense. NC State also feels like a school that cares about bowl games, going NC State is 10-3 ATS in bowl games since 2002 (5-2 ATS under Dave Doeren). Also, Maryland is 7-21 ATS against ranked teams since 2016, the worst mark by any Power 5 team in that span, including 3-11 ATS under the current Mike Locksley tenure (since 2019). WRIGHT’S PICK: NC STATE 24, MARYLAND 17
Brian Rippee: I got burned by N.C. State many times this year. No more. Rippee's Pick: Maryland 24, N.C. State 20
Pittsburgh +6.5 vs. UCLA, Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl, Sun Bowl Stadium, El Paso, Texas, 1 p.m., CBS
Neal McCready: This could be a sneaky interesting game. Both teams can score. The Bruins can't defend. Neal's Pick: UCLA 34, Pitt 31
Chase Parham: The Sun Bowl is always sort of fun to watch in El Paso. Maybe I'm weird, but I think so. Parham's Pick: UCLA 38, Pitt 34
Jeffrey Wright: UCLA is supposedly playing most of its players while Pittsburgh is 0-5 ATS in its last five games as an underdog (0-3 ATS this season) and is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 bowl games (1-4 ATS under Pat Narduzzi). WRIGHT’S PICK: UCLA 34, PITTSBURGH 24
Brian Rippee: Absolutely glorious uniform match up here. Rippee's Pick: UCLA 41, Pitt 31
Notre Dame -2.5 vs. South Carolina, TaxSlayer Gator Bowl, TIAA Bank Stadium, Jacksonville, Fla., 2:30 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: Who am I to bet against a hot streak? Neal's Pick: South Carolina 31, Notre Dame 28
Chase Parham: If there can be motivation for playing in Florida's worst bowl city, South Carolina has it. Parham's Pick: Carolina 24, Notre Dame 20
Jeffrey Wright: Shane Beamer seems to me to be a coach that will care about the bowl game. South Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last six bowl games (since 2013). Notre Dame is 7-15 ATS in its previous 22 bowl games (since 1993). South Carolina seems more likely to care about playing Notre Dame rather than the other way around. WRIGHT’S PICK: SOUTH CAROLINA 27, NOTRE DAME 24
Brian Rippee: Momentum and motivation. Shane Beamer's program has both. This could be a really fun one. Rippee's Pick: South Carolina 28, Notre Dame 23
Ohio +1.5 vs. Wyoming, Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl, Arizona Stadium, Tucson, Ariz., 3:30 p.m., Barstool Sports
Neal McCready: I know nothing about either team, though Ohio had some nice moments in the MAC. Tucson feels like a Cowboy town. Neal's Pick: Wyoming 34, Ohio 30
Chase Parham: Wyoming beat a good Air Force team. That's what I got. Parham's Pick: Wyoming 34, Ohio 31
Jeffrey Wright: A man has to have a code, even when the code is possibly yielding no fruit. WRIGHT’S PICK: WYOMING 24, OHIO 20
Brian Rippee: I did not watch a snap of either of these teams this year, so I will go with the strategy of fading the MAC in bowl games. Rippee's Pick: Wyoming 30, Ohio 21
Tennessee +6.5 vs. Clemson, Capital One Orange Bowl, Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Fla., 7 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: Clemson may have figured out its quarterback issues in the ACC title game. Still, I expect a close game, so give me the points. Neal's Pick: Clemson 31, Tennessee 28
Chase Parham: Well, this is very orange. Tennessee's QB situation scares the hell out of me here, but that's too many points when I don't think Clemson is good. Parham's Pick: Tennessee 41, Clemson 40
Jeffrey Wright: I think we keep waiting for Clemson to be good when the reality is maybe they’re just not. WRIGHT’S PICK: TENNESSEE 34, CLEMSON 31
Brian Rippee: Hindsight is 20/20, but I always felt like Clemson would've been better off going to Cade Klubnik earlier in the year. I like the Vols in this one, even without Malik Hooker. Rippee's Pick: Tennessee 35, Clemson 27
New Year's Eve
Iowa -2.5 vs. Kentucky, TransPerfect Music City Bowl, Nissan Stadium, Nashville, 11 a.m., ABC
Neal McCready: This might be the first time all season Iowa has the better quarterback. Neal's Pick: Iowa 20, Kentucky 14
Chase Parham: I mean holy hell this is a bad offensive football game. Parham’s Pick: Iowa 9, Kentucky 6
Jeffrey Wright: I don’t know how either team should be favored, so I’ll just take the points. WRIGHT’S PICK: KENTUCKY 17, IOWA 14
Brian Rippee: This could rival that infamous Cheez-It bowl game from a few year's back in terms of bad football. Rippee's Pick: Kentucky 10, Iowa 7
Alabama -3.5 vs. Kansas State, Allstate Sugar Bowl, Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, 11 a.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: I just don't think Alabama will care. Bryce Young is crazy to play in this game. Meanwhile, I expect the Wildcats to play like a team possessed. Neal's Pick: Kansas State 27, Alabama 26
Chase Parham: I know I’m insane here but for some reason I think Alabama shows up. I know that’s atypical but what the hell, let’s roll (Tide). Parham’s Pick: Bama 34, Kansas State 27
Jeffrey Wright: I admit that this thinking is perhaps flawed logically as Alabama hasn’t blown out a good team all year. However, when I close my eyes, I see a Citrus Bowl against a Michigan school breaking out. WRIGHT’S PICK: ALABAMA 38, KANSAS STATE 24
Brian Rippee: Alabama does not care about Sugar Bowls. We are going to look up in a month and notice that Kansas State will have back-to-back bowl wins over LSU and Alabama. No context needed. Rippee's Pick: Kansas State 31, Alabama 27
Michigan -8 vs. TCU, College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Verb Fiesta Bowl, State Farm Stadium, Glendale, Ariz., 3 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: Michigan is just so much better than TCU. It's really that simple. Neal's Pick: Michigan 37, TCU 20
Chase Parham: TCU is a great story and they should get full credit for the wins and the appearance, but this is a different environment and opponent. I'm for TCU. It is a more interesting result, but I don't see it. Parham's Pick: Michigan 33, TCU 20
Jeffrey Wright: Michigan is 16-7 ATS as a favorite since the start of last season. In the past five years, favorites are 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS during the semifinals. The one SU loss was Clemson to Ohio State during the Covid year, so in my mind, that doesn’t count. I also don’t think TCU can block Michigan. WRIGHT’S PICK: MICHIGAN 34, TCU 24
Brian Rippee: Michigan is a better football team with more talent and depth, but I cannot discount the Horned Frogs coming off of a loss with a month to prepare for this. Rippee's Pick: Michigan 24, TCU 20
Georgia -6.5 vs. Ohio State, College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl, Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, 7 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: I believe Georgia has had this matchup circled for a bit. I expect a bloodbath. Neal's Pick: Georgia 41, Ohio State 24
Chase Parham: Georgia has been great when it puts its full focus on games. That'll be the case here. Parham's Pick: Georgia 38, Ohio State 20
Jeffrey Wright: I’m truly afraid that this is the squarest plays in the history of square plays, but Georgia is what Michigan wants to be. They are Michigan with a better roster. Also, Georgia has shown up for the big games this year. WRIGHT’S PICK: GEORGIA 38, OHIO STATE 20
Brian Rippee: I actually think this will be the bigger blowout of the two games. Georgia is much better and I think Kirby Smart will flex a little bit here. Rippee's Pick: Georgia 45, Ohio State 20
January 2
Mississippi State +2 vs. Illinois, Reliaquest Bowl, Raymond James Stadium, Tampa. Fla., 11 a.m., ESPN2
Neal McCready: One has to believe Mississippi State will play an inspired football game to honor Mike Leach. Neal's Pick: MSU 27, Illinois 23
Chase Parham: There's no doubt Mississippi State is going to be all out for this one. I hope they get it. Parham's Pick: MSU 24, Illinois 20
Jeffrey Wright: I obviously will be taking Mississippi State here. While a cynic would say there’s no better way to honor Coach Leach than by losing a bowl game, I have no time for such haters. Also, Illinois plays more man coverage than any other team in the country, typically the look that Mississippi State wants. WRIGHT’S PICK: MISSISSIPPI STATE 24, ILLINOIS 20
Brian Rippee: I will miss Mike Leach a lot. We lost a legend in college football. I think the Bulldogs will win this one for The Pirate. Rippee's Pick: Mississippi State 28, Illinois 24
LSU -10.5 vs. Purdue, Cheez-It Citrus Bowl, Camping World Stadium, Orlando, Fla., Noon, ABC
Neal McCready: I expect Brian Kelly to have his team ready to finish strong. Neal's Pick: LSU 34, Purdue 21
Chase Parham: That is a truck load of points, but LSU is just the better team and has most of its arsenal available. Parham's Pick: LSU 38, Purdue 20
Jeffrey Wright: Since 2015, The 15 Big Ten underdogs went 4-10-1 ATS (3-12 SU) when playing SEC teams. I also have no idea how Purdue can be motivated, so I’m not sure the Spoiler Maker Principle applies. WRIGHT’S PICK: LSU 34, PURDUE 20
Brian Rippee: LSU is better and more athletic, and I believe Purdue's quarterback is not going to play in this game. Rippee's Pick: LSU 38, Purdue 20
USC -1.5 vs. Tulane, Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic, AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas, Noon, ESPN
Neal McCready: The Trojans just have too much talent. I hope I'm wrong. Neal's Pick: USC 34, Tulane 27
Chase Parham: There's no way I'm not picking Tulane here. Hullabaloo. Parham's Pick: Tulane 41, USC 0
Jeffrey Wright: Per ESPN Stats and Info, Every Group of 5 team to play a New Year's Six game has closed as at least a three-point underdog in the CFP era (since 2014). They are 3-5 outright and 4-3-1 ATS, but 0-4 outright and 1-3 ATS over the last four seasons. In the end, if SC cares at all, I think they will cover the number. WRIGHT’S PICK: USC 38, TULANE 31
Brian Rippee: Roll Wave. Rippee's Pick: Tulane 35, USC 34
Utah -2.5 vs. Penn State, The Rose Bowl Game, Rose Bowl, Pasadena, Calif., 4 p.m., ESPN
Neal McCready: Utah is a really solid team. How did the Utes lose at Florida? I'll never understand it. Neal's Pick: Utah 37, Penn State 27
Chase Parham: Utah is so much more palatable. I can't watch this game and pull for Penn State. Parham's Pick: Utah 30, Penn State 24
Jeffrey Wright: Pac-12 teams have lost seven straight bowls dating back to Oregon's 2020 Rose Bowl win over Wisconsin. Since 2016, Pac-12 favorites are 4-13-1 ATS in bowls (9-9 SU). I also think everyone wants to bet Utah here while quietly Penn State was pretty good this year. Penn State is 5-1 ATS against teams with winning records this season with three straight covers and is 5-0-1 ATS during the last six games. WRIGHT’S PICK: PENN STATE 31, UTAH 24
Brian Rippee: It's been a marvelous couple of weeks for members of the Kyle Whittingham fan club that Weldon and I founded. I think the Utes roll here. Rippee's Pick: Utah 31, Penn State 2