Venue:
73rd AT&T Cotton Bowl Classic: Ole Miss (8-4, 5-3 SEC) vs. Texas Tech (11-1, 7-1
Big 12), January 2, 2009, 1 p.m. CT, Cotton Bowl (88,175); Dallas, Texas
The Matchup: Â This game will be the
fifth meeting between Texas Tech and Ole Miss. The series is tied at 2-2. This
is the third bowl meeting between Ole Miss and Texas Tech. The teams' other two
postseason battles occurred at the Independence Bowl with Ole Miss winning both
times, 20-17 in 1986 and 35-18 in 1998. In the regular season, Texas Tech won
both games of a home-and-home series in 2002 (42-28) and 2003 (49-45).
Houston Nutt has a chance to improve on his post season record, which stands at
2-5 headed into Friday's game. It was a sore point with some Arkansas fans
and while the Rebels are playing a top ten team and not expected to win, a
victory over the Red Raiders positions Ole Miss to be nationally ranked headed
into next season, a contender for the SEC West, and an upset also builds
momentum for some high profile recruits who are considering the Rebels.
Keys to the Game:
1) Control the ball on offense. Ole Miss needs to avoid
a shootout with Texas Tech and the best way to do that is to
control the ball on offense. 2) Pressure on the
quarterback. In many respects, how the Ole Miss
defensive line has played this season is a reflection on how
the team has played. In the Florida upset, the line got
constant pressure on Tim Tebow and the Rebels won. A
week later, the line didn't have one of its best games against
South Carolina and the team lost. Against Mississippi
State, the defense had 11 sacks led by the defensive line, and
the Rebels won 45-0. 3) No turnovers. Nutt likes to say
the team gifted some games early in the season and that's
exactly what happened because of poor ball security.Â
When the Rebels started limiting turnovers, they began winning
consistently. With Tech's high powered offense, the
Rebels do not have the luxury of giving the Red Raiders any
help.
Ole Miss rushing versus the Texas
Tech ground defense:Â Ole Miss comes into the game
ranked No. 31 among the 119 Division I teams in rushing
offense at 183 yards a game. One thing is certain - when
the final whistle blows for the final Cotton Bowl at its
current location - Ole Miss will have had some degree of
running success. Texas Tech is ranked No. 45 in rush
defense giving up 133 yards a game. Ole Miss ran for 158
yards against a highly acclaimed Alabama defense, 102 yards
against an LSU team set on stopping the run (the Rebels passed
for 307 yards in a 31-13 win), and 140 yards against Florida.Â
If running between the tackles doesn't work, the Rebels will
hit the edge with Dexter McCluster or Brandon Bolden - and if
that doesn't work - they'll move into the Wild Rebel.Â
Should Tech put eight or nine on the line of scrimmage, Ole
Miss will take the pass, but throw in a few draw plays to pick
up yardage. Ole Miss' running success is not a slap at
Texas Tech's defense, rather a reflection of Nutt's offensive
mindset. He'll be as intent on running the football as
Mike Leach will be to pass it.Â
Texas Tech comes it with a very
respectable run defense and is ranked No. 45 in rush defense
giving up 133 yards a game. Ole Miss will start with junior
Cordera Eason, the team's leading rusher at tailback and swap
him out with Bolden and McCluster. The trio has combined for
over 1,500 rushing yards on the season.
Advantage: Ole Miss
Ole Miss passing versus the Texas Tech secondary: Â Ole Miss won't
field a premier passing attack against Texas Tech, but it will field a very
competent one with a better than average quarterback in Jevan Snead and a bevy
of capable wide receivers. Ole Miss is ranked No. 58 in passing offense
with 215 yards a game and will face a Texas Tech defense that is No. 91 in pass
defense, giving up 238 yards a game. Whereas with Texas Tech a defense knows
it's going to see the pass, with Ole Miss, it will be pretty much a balanced
attack - one that slightly favors the run unless a team loads the line of
scrimmage - then the Rebels will take what the defense gives through the air.Â
Snead, a redshirt sophomore, is behind only Tim Tebow or Matthew Stafford for
the lead in most categories in the SEC. After starting the season as a
rookie quarterback, he has developed and matured during the season and his
confidence has grown. That's a plus for the Rebels, who already had an
experienced group of wide receivers, led by senior Mike Wallace and supplemented
by Shay Hodge and McCluster. The trio has combined for 115 receptions and
all three are capable of the big play.
Advantage: Ole Miss
Texas Tech rushing
versus the Ole Miss ground defense:Â Nutt has
cautioned against taking Texas Tech's running game for granted; however, the
statistics do not show the Red Raiders as a major running threat. Texas Tech is
ranked 96 in rushing offense at 118 yards a game. Meanwhile, Ole Miss' defense
is ranked No. 6 in the country in rushing defense giving up just 83 yards a
game. What is dangerous about Tech's running game is that the offense throws the
ball so much, the running game becomes neglected which leaves any defense
susceptible to draw play or quick hitter that goes for long yardage.Â
Sophomore running back Baron Batch leads the Red
Raider rushing attack with 61.8 yards per game while averaging 6.7
yards per carry. This is an area where Ole Miss should dominate with a
defensive line that has developed an NFL-look this season and is led by senior
tackle Peria Jerry, and All-American and defensive end Greg Hardy, an
All-American as a sophomore last year who has had the injury bug for portions of
the season but should be healthy for this game. Nose tackle Lawon Scott
drew honorable mention all-SEC honors while defensive end Kentrell Lockett has
come into his own this season. But it doesn't stop there - backups like
Chris Bowers, Marcus Tillman, former top recruit of the year Jerrell Powe offer
talent and experience to the point of it being little drop off when they hit the
field.
Edge: Ole Miss
Texas Tech passing versus the Ole Miss secondary: Â If there's an area that looks scary for Ole Miss
against Texas Tech, this is it. The last time the two teams met, which was in
2003, the Rebels gave up 713 yards on defense and 661 of that came through the
air in a 49-45 loss. Little has changed at Texas Tech. The Red
Raiders are number one in passing offense at 417 yards a game. While Ole
Miss is not overly impressive on pass defense, the team has shown improvement
throughout the season and is now ranked
No. 60 in pass defense giving up 209 yards a game. Throughout the season,
there have been some warning signs - 265 yards in the opener against Memphis,
who was starting a JUCO transfer in his first game, 327 yards against South
Carolina, and making Auburn quarterback Kodi Burns look like an All-American
while throwing for 319 yards. In the Rebels' defense, some of that has
been "junk" yards, but the key team concern headed into the season was at
cornerback and that has improved over the season, but hasn't been fixed. The Red Raiders rank second in the Big 12 and
fourth in the nation in both total offense (536.2 per game) and
scoring (44.6 per game). Senior quarterback Graham Harrell is
first in the conference and second in the nation and accounts for
390.8 yards of total offense. He enters the Cotton Bowl having
completed 406-of-568 passes for 4,747 yards and 41 touchdowns.
Sophomore wide receiver Michael Crabtree has hauled in 93 receptions this
season and has compiled 1,135 yards and 18 touchdowns. He ranks third
in the conference and 13th in the nation with 94.6 receiving
yards per game. If Ole Miss can limit Texas Tech to at or
below its season totals, the Rebels have a real chance to win the game. If
they allow anything like the team did in 2003, they likely won't survive a
shootout.
Edge: Texas Tech
Special Teams: Another of Ole
Miss' most substantial improvements from the 2007 season has
been in special teams play. Special teams coordinator James
Shibest picked up much deserved special teams coordinator of
the year honors. The Rebels have solid place kicking in
junior Josh Shene and the Rebels' punting has been consistent
if not exceptional. Coverage teams have been solid with
a handful of exceptions where their appeared to be a let down.Â
Players to watch on coverage include Bowers and Patrick
Trahan, who has delivered some powerful licks.
Edge: Even
Weather forecast:
Times of sun and clouds. Highs in the upper 60s and lows in
the mid 50s.
Broadcast information:
TV: FOX Sports (Pat Summerall, play-by-play; Brian Baldinger,
analyst; Jeanne Zelasko, host/reporter; Krista Voda, field
reporter). RADIO: Ole Miss Radio Network (David Kellum,
play-by-play; Harry Harrison, color analyst; Stan Sandroni,
sideline reporter). Westwood One (Brad Sham, play-by-play;
Terry Bowden, color analyst).
WEB: OleMissSports.com will provide links for live stats and
an in-game blog. The official Rebel athletics website will
also provide a full game recap and photo gallery.
RebelSports.net has three reporters on the ground and will
provide post game coverage including commentary, analysis and
photo galleries.